FY18 Medical Corps Promotion Opportunity 80%
Here are the just released FY18 Staff Corps promotion board members and convening order, which states that the promotion opportunity is 80%. Below is the section of my Promo Prep document that explains how promotion board math works, because this does not mean you have an 80% chance of promoting. That said, it is the highest its been in a long time:
WHAT ARE MY CHANCES OF PROMOTING?
See the tables below for the actual promotion statistics.
| FY13 | FY14 | FY15 | FY16 | FY17 | FY18 | |
| LCDR | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| CDR | 80% | 80% | 70% | 70% | 65% | |
| CAPT | 60% | 60% | 60% | 50% | 70% | 80% |
Promotion opportunity. This percentage is multiplied by the zone size to give the number of officers to be selected for promotion. For example, if the promotion opportunity is 60% and there are 100 officers in-zone, then 60 will be selected for promotion. This 60, however, may come from officers who are below-zone, in-zone, or above-zone. For example, maybe 50 of the 60 are in-zone, and 10 are above-zone. That is why the percentage of people in-zone who are selected for promotion is always lower than the promotion opportunity. See below…
| FY13 | FY14 | FY15 | FY16 | FY17 | FY18 | |
| LCDR | 97% | 89% | 90% | 93% | 88% | |
| CDR | 58% | 66% | 49% | 53% | 44% | |
| CAPT | 55% | 43% | 47% | 39% | 34% |
Actual percentage of in-zone candidates selected for promotion.
Joel Schofer's Career Planning Blog 